Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 8.646167 9.682410 10.857593 12.303071 14.052946 16.129210 18.820129
2024-12-22 7.002605 8.310510 9.934073 12.150115 15.185308 19.345005 25.774075
2024-12-29 6.286854 7.761918 9.712543 12.588331 16.931223 23.665786 35.973322
2025-01-05 5.527163 6.993303 9.011184 12.140691 17.196145 25.780781 43.733732
2025-01-12 4.926089 6.345394 8.357455 11.600473 17.124851 27.237035 51.085670
2025-01-19 4.495208 5.880385 7.895285 11.256134 17.266672 29.087805 60.632448
2025-01-26 4.216614 5.601675 7.669471 11.242642 17.971599 32.302494 76.658733
2025-02-02 4.178917 5.670218 7.978393 12.172743 20.697588 41.264489 123.962130
2025-02-09 4.068751 5.613827 8.075329 12.737456 22.853602 50.221479 196.050158
2025-02-16 3.880317 5.416052 7.912487 12.782411 23.870830 56.674764 282.723021
2025-02-23 3.778938 5.347412 7.959378 13.241717 26.021787 68.634494 514.530797
2025-03-02 3.539506 5.035067 7.548972 12.705449 25.489317 70.323602 650.217201
2025-03-09 3.352738 4.815489 7.316744 12.583916 26.260679 79.269870 1226.064376
2025-03-16 3.176402 4.604257 7.086333 12.448747 27.032873 89.889407 3061.546817
2025-03-23 3.091588 4.540421 7.119345 12.904437 29.783484 116.401982 141841.705993
2025-03-30 2.908857 4.293330 6.780075 12.440261 29.424048 123.345591 NaN
2025-04-06 2.732481 4.046534 6.421267 11.880405 28.580825 126.015959 NaN
2025-04-13 2.593529 3.857593 6.160356 11.523779 28.360862 134.160994 NaN
2025-04-20 2.502249 3.747583 6.045185 11.509809 29.403101 157.230722 NaN
2025-04-27 2.512298 3.819114 6.297700 12.473495 34.765638 258.212309 NaN
2025-05-04 2.482622 3.815656 6.396500 13.059231 39.063732 401.101838 NaN
2025-05-11 2.409266 3.726178 6.306109 13.105880 40.931161 530.188557 NaN
2025-05-18 2.373885 3.705674 6.361093 13.582658 45.407940 915.366854 NaN